Nominate.AI/United States/Oregon
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Oregon

Oregon's registration table has a column for Non-Affiliated and a separate column for a party called Independent. The first holds 1,142,360 people and the second 153,045, and treating them as the same thing is the single easiest mistake to make in this state.

Harvest active 36 / 36 counties37.1% non-affiliated12 party columnsGeneral · Nov 3 8 state deltas tracked
County ledger · 36 counties → See the state deltas
Non-Affiliated and Independent are two different columns. The Secretary of State's August 2026 registration report gives every county twelve party columns. Two of them look like synonyms and are not: Non-Affiliated, meaning no party at all, holds 1,142,360 registrations — 37.1% of the state and more than either major party. Independent is the Independent Party of Oregon, a real registered party with real members, and holds 153,045. A classifier that folds Independent into unaffiliated moves 153,045 party members into a bucket of 1,142,360 non-members and gets both wrong. The full column set runs Democrat, Republican, Non-Affiliated, Constitution, Independent, Libertarian, No Labels, Green, Progressive, People, Families and Other, and the 36 county rows sum to the state's own total exactly.
Ask Oregon · 36 counties indexed
>

Which party leads in Oregon?

None of them. Of 3,076,893 registrations in August 2026, Non-Affiliated holds 1,142,360 — 37.1%, ahead of Democrat at 980,829 (31.9%) and Republican at 734,821 (23.9%). Oregon registers voters automatically through the driver-licensing system, and an automatic registrant is recorded with no party unless they choose one, so the largest single group in the state is the group that never made a choice. Per county it runs from Malheur at 49.1% down to Wheeler at 27.0%.
registration by county · Aug 202612 party columns

State deltas

Every state has hair. Here is Oregon's.

The rules that make this state different from the last one, what each breaks if you assume the national default, and how the engine resolves it.

Oregon · 8 deltas trackedLast reviewed Aug 14, 2026
Δ 01Independent is a party and Non-Affiliated is notNomenclature
Breaks

The registration table carries both columns side by side: Non-Affiliated at 1,142,360 and Independent at 153,045. The first means no party; the second is the Independent Party of Oregon, a registered party with members, ballot access and its own nominations. They differ by a factor of seven and mean opposite things. Every schema that maps party strings to a canonical vocabulary, every minor-party rollup, and every assumption that independent implies unaffiliated will collapse them.

Resolved

Party is read from the source's own column set with no normalisation of names, and affiliation status is a separate field from party identity so an absence is never stored as a party.

Δ 02The largest registration bloc is no party at allStructural
Breaks

Non-Affiliated is 37.1% of the state, ahead of Democrats at 31.9% and Republicans at 23.9%. Oregon registers voters automatically through driver licensing and records them with no party unless they choose one, so the plurality is produced by a default rather than a preference. A model that treats party registration as expressed intent, or that estimates support from registration shares, is reading a system artefact as a political fact for more than a third of the electorate.

Resolved

Registration status carries how it was created, so automatic and self-declared affiliations are distinguishable and neither is read as intent.

Δ 03Twelve party columns, and the small ones are realEntity resolution
Breaks

Beyond the majors the table carries Constitution, Independent, Libertarian, No Labels, Green, Progressive, People, Families and Other as separate columns — nine of them, with People holding 446 registrations statewide and Families 8,362. Collapsing these into a single other bucket destroys the distinction between a party with 446 members and the residual category, and Other is itself already one of the columns, so the rollup would be nested inside a column of the same name.

Resolved

The party vocabulary is taken from the source's headers, with Other kept as a named column rather than used as a destination for unmapped values.

Δ 04Counties split across congressional districts in the state's own reportGeometry
Breaks

The registration report is published by county and again by congressional district, and the district tables list counties as their components — the 1st is Clatsop, Columbia, part of Multnomah, and Tillamook. Multnomah shows 124,234 registrations inside the 1st against 583,460 countywide, so most of it lies in other districts. Any join that treats a county as belonging to one congressional district, or that sums district registration by matching county names, double-counts the split counties and misplaces the rest.

Resolved

County-to-district is a many-to-many relation with a registration weight per intersection, taken from the state's own district tables rather than inferred from county centroids.

Δ 05Non-affiliation is concentrated, not uniformEntity resolution
Breaks

The non-affiliated share runs from Malheur at 49.1% and Umatilla at 46.3% down to Wheeler at 27.0% and Wallowa at 29.6% — a 22-point spread, and the extremes are rural counties at both ends rather than an urban-rural gradient. Applying the statewide 37.1% per county to size a partisan universe is wrong by up to twelve points, and the direction of the error is not predictable from population.

Resolved

Affiliation shares are stored per county and never applied as a statewide constant, with the distribution retained rather than a mean.

Δ 06A thousand special districts under two hundred and forty citiesStructural
Breaks

The Census counts 1,528 local governments in Oregon: 1,029 special districts, 223 school districts and only 240 municipalities. Districts outnumber cities more than four to one, and special and school districts together are 82% of all local government. Modelling the local layer as cities captures under a sixth of the state's governments, and the district layer carries its own elections that no municipal harvest reaches.

Resolved

Special and school districts are first-class tiers joined to counties by overlap, and the local layer is never assumed to be municipal.

Δ 07Registration is published monthly, and the series is the pointScheduling
Breaks

The Secretary of State publishes a registration report every month, and each one carries this month, last month, the same month a year earlier, and both percentage changes on the same page. So registration is a time series rather than a snapshot, and a figure quoted without its month is not interpretable — the August 2026 total of 3,076,893 is up 0.22% on July and 0.77% on August 2025. A pipeline that stores one number and refreshes it in place destroys the only view that shows movement.

Resolved

Registration is stored as a dated series rather than a current value, so month-over-month and year-over-year movement survive a refresh.

Δ 08Thirty-six counties, and the Census agreesOrdering
Breaks

Oregon administers 36 counties and the Census counts 36 county governments. Across this corpus the two disagree only where consolidated city-counties exist — Colorado, Montana, Nevada and California — and agree everywhere else. Oregon is a clean case, so a reconciliation against Census unit counts is safe here, but the same reconciliation is short by one to two in four neighbours and the difference is knowable in advance rather than discovered.

Resolved

County identity comes from the state's own administration list, with the Census classification stored alongside and the consolidated city-county count recorded as the expected difference.

Federal to special district

What Oregon actually elects.

A federal delegation of seven, a legislature that turns over three quarters of itself, and a thousand special districts underneath.

Federal
U.S. Senate · 6 U.S. House districts — counties split across them in the state's own reporting
7
State
governor and the statewide ticket · all 60 house districts · half the 30-seat senate
statewide ticket2026 seat counts were not verified against a state artifact this pass
Judiciary
nonpartisan — judicial contests are not carried in the party registration reporting
nonpartisan
Counties
36 · each running its own elections office · the Census count agrees exactly
36
Municipalities
240 · cities, outnumbered more than four to one by special districts
240
School districts
223 · nearly as many school districts as cities
223
Special districts
1,029 · fire, water, park, port and irrigation boards — 67% of every local government in the state
1,029

Congressional map

Where those seats are.

The 6 congressional districts in force for the 2026 cycle — not necessarily the map this delegation was elected under. Oregon has not redrawn since the 119th Congress was seated.

Oregon · 6 congressional districts Read 2026-08-15
Oregon: 6 congressional districts. Each district is selectable; the ledger carries the same data as text.
Locator map of the United States with Oregon highlighted.
OR · Oregon
Select a district
District PopulationMedian income
OR-01 710,371$94,740
OR-02 704,844$65,168
OR-03 681,430$84,057
OR-04 710,184$67,778
OR-05 709,945$92,055
OR-06 716,584$83,695
cbdistricts GET /api/v1/layers/federal-congressional/geojson · read 2026-08-15 Upstream source: Census TIGER/Line 2024 — https://www2.census.gov/geo/tiger/TIGER2024/CD/ Not shown: Representative(0 of 6), Party(0 of 6), Cook PVI(0 of 6). Returned for too few districts to tabulate — reported as a gap rather than a column of dashes. Geometry simplified to 0.00367° (~400 m) for display. Boundaries are illustrative at this resolution — not a legal description.
Congressional only — state chambers and counties sit underneath All district layers →

County ledger

Thirty-six counties, twelve party columns, and one column that is not a party.

Registration below is from the Secretary of State's August 2026 report — current, official, monthly, and published with month-over-month and year-over-year movement on the same page. The 36 county rows sum to the state total of 3,076,893 exactly. The second column is the non-affiliated share, which is the largest bloc statewide at 37.1% and ranges from 49.1% to 27.0% by county. Thirteen of 36 shown.

PDF / SOVC · 13
CountyFeed vehicle Registered Non-affiliatedStatusLast read
Multnomah · PortlandPDF / SOVC583,46035.7%Verified1 hr
WashingtonPDF / SOVC401,18840.1%Verified1 hr
ClackamasPDF / SOVC320,75934.9%Verified1 hr
Lane · EugenePDF / SOVC281,09435.3%Verified1 hr
Marion · SalemPDF / SOVC230,88140.3%Verified1 hr
DeschutesPDF / SOVC166,11135.0%Verified1 hr
JacksonPDF / SOVC164,08236.4%Verified1 hr
LinnPDF / SOVC100,16437.2%Verified1 hr
Malheur · highest non-affiliatedPDF / SOVC18,57149.1%Verified1 hr
UmatillaPDF / SOVC51,44446.3%Verified1 hr
GrantPDF / SOVC5,47430.1%Verified1 hr
WallowaPDF / SOVC6,31629.6%Verified1 hr
Wheeler · lowest non-affiliatedPDF / SOVC1,05127.0%Verified1 hr
Showing 13 of 36 36 on file